It ignored the fact that in modern democracies, established political parties often rely on social movement support to win elections, while social movements cannot succeed without the sponsorship of party politicians. elections) and non-institutionalised politics (i.e. Footnote 4 Such a striking divide only reflected the traditional scholarly bias of a clear, impermeable boundary between institutionalised politics (i.e. Until the 1990s, social movements and elections remained discrete areas of research in social sciences, with limited studies conducted to systematically specify how social movements affect elections and vice versa. Traditionally, scholars paid little attention to the interactive relationship between social movements and elections. This study contributes to extant literature by advancing the discussion from democracies to hybrid regimes, paving the way for future research across diverse political regimes.
The findings of this study are two-fold: The quantitative findings from a territory-wide telephone survey validated the thesis of “movement-voting nexus’ in Hong Kong’s hybrid regime, statistically establishing the significance of “movement support” as a novel predictor of voting behaviour (vis-à-vis other predictors such as political partisanship) in times of transformative social movement, as in the case of democracies the qualitative findings from extended interviews of survey respondents revealed that the “movement-voting nexus” was operating in the shadows of authoritarian electoral influence in the territory, reflecting the nuanced features of Hong Kong’s hybrid regime. This study goes beyond the existing literature by testing the applicability of “movement-voting nexus’ in the context of hybrid regimes, using the voter mobilization in the Hong Kong’s Anti-Extradition Bill Movement as a case study. However, existing studies have overwhelmingly focused on the context of democracies. The “movement-voting nexus” thesis highlights the impact of transformative social movements on shifting voting behaviour and electoral outcomes.
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